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No new rumors on the banking front from the direction of Omaha today.  FRC took another dive today; if it gets into the single digits I'll jump back in with double the share purchase.

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1 hour ago, hdporter said:

No new rumors on the banking front from the direction of Omaha today.  FRC took another dive today; if it gets into the single digits I'll jump back in with double the share purchase.

 

I'm ready to capitulate. My brokerage is where money goes to die.

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5 hours ago, hegemony said:

 

I'm ready to capitulate. My brokerage is where money goes to die.

 

"Skin in the game" is a cop out.  It's when there's "flesh" in the game that things get interesting ...

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10 hours ago, hdporter said:

 

"Skin in the game" is a cop out.  It's when there's "flesh" in the game that things get interesting ...

so do I buy more to lower my mean cost per share?

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54 minutes ago, hegemony said:

so do I buy more to lower my mean cost per share?

 

Nah, you buy more so that if the stock claws back a little gain, you can focus on how smart you were to buy in at that price (putting your "out of the money" purchase thoroughly out of mind ...)

 

Of course, you need to make the additional purchase at a price so low, "it couldn't possibly go lower" ;)

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  • 5 weeks later...

Ended my 1-1/2 year flirtation with NVDA (Nvidea) Monday. 

 

I tepidly jumped in Nov '21 with a purchase of 50 shares @ $314, encouraged by reporting of growing demand for high performance computing.  I was one day short of buying into its peak price of $329 :(.  The shares progressively slumped thereafter, bottoming out at $112 eleven months later.

 

As has been my style, I chased the loss by buying 100 shares in Jul '22 at $163.  Unlike the case with DOCU and FVRR, in this instance the stock didn't proceed to endlessly tank.  Instead, I was able to sell 25 shares @ $203, 80 @ $238, and 45 @280.

 

A $4700 gain isn't a life-changing win.  But turning around what was a $20k loss as of Nov '22 to a profit 6 months later that reflects a 15% annualized return on my average investment assures me in the truth of the adage, "even a blind squirrel can find a nut" ;)

 

(Note, a prior post commenting on a NVDA share sale "on the fly" incl some very "wonky" math ... I think I was only looking back 12 mo, thus the original share purchase was ignored, and only accounted for the 2nd one.)

 

------------

 

I've been impressed and encouraged that FRC has managed to largely stay above $13/sh this past month.  If it does so for another month, I'm seriously going to think about another 1000 share purchase.

Edited by hdporter
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After today, FRC is looking more and more like a simple crapshoot ... sigh.

 

At least it's stop hemorrhaging depositors; just no indication of what, if anything, will draw people back in.  In the interim, the have a lot of expensive infrastructure relative to the considerably reduced asset base.  I don't know if you can shrink that down to something cost-effective without the handwriting going up on the wall that it's just a matter of time before they close up shop.

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19 minutes ago, hdporter said:

After today, FRC is looking more and more like a simple crapshoot ... sigh.

 

At least it's stop hemorrhaging depositors; just no indication of what, if anything, will draw people back in.  In the interim, the have a lot of expensive infrastructure relative to the considerably reduced asset base.  I don't know if you can shrink that down to something cost-effective without the handwriting going up on the wall that it's just a matter of time before they close up shop.

I almost sold all before close and given what after-hours looks like I should have.

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47 minutes ago, hegemony said:

I almost sold all before close and given what after-hours looks like I should have.

 

At this point, my hopes are really tied to the prospect of another buyer.  But I haven't done the homework to have any idea what the FRC account base is worth ...

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On 3/21/2023 at 10:33 AM, hegemony said:

so do I buy more to lower my mean cost per share?

 

ygf1lQF.png

 

 

On 3/20/2023 at 4:54 PM, hdporter said:

FRC took another dive today; if it gets into the single digits I'll jump back in with double the share purchase.

 

Crap ... should have known this might come back to bite me!  🙄

 

Seriously, my gut tells me it would be good to jump back in around $8.  Just not going to rush in; I'll check back in a week and see if there are any sharks in the pool ...

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3 hours ago, hdporter said:

 

ygf1lQF.png

 

 

 

Crap ... should have known this might come back to bite me!  🙄

 

Seriously, my gut tells me it would be good to jump back in around $8.  Just not going to rush in; I'll check back in a week and see if there are any sharks in the pool ...

$8 sounds like a dream...

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Well, I'm not going to say I wish I had gotten out when ...

 

Once I bought in, I was committed.  So this exercise was just one more reminder on how those "can't lose" / "it's just a bad turn, better snap something up" propositions can turn around and bite you HARD.

 

It's just so damn sobering to see how billions can evaporate overnight ...  <bring on the next bargain purchase opportunity!!>

 

I'll feel better when NFLX breaks $400 ... gonna happen any day!!

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14 hours ago, hdporter said:

Well, I'm not going to say I wish I had gotten out when ...

 

Once I bought in, I was committed.  So this exercise was just one more reminder on how those "can't lose" / "it's just a bad turn, better snap something up" propositions can turn around and bite you HARD.

 

It's just so damn sobering to see how billions can evaporate overnight ...  <bring on the next bargain purchase opportunity!!>

 

I'll feel better when NFLX breaks $400 ... gonna happen any day!!

I got out at 7.21 with my tail wet

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  • 4 weeks later...
On 4/19/2023 at 10:45 PM, hdporter said:

Ended my 1-1/2 year flirtation with NVDA (Nvidea) Monday. 

 

I tepidly jumped in Nov '21 with a purchase of 50 shares @ $314, encouraged by reporting of growing demand for high performance computing.  I was one day short of buying into its peak price of $329 :(.  The shares progressively slumped thereafter, bottoming out at $112 eleven months later.

 

As has been my style, I chased the loss by buying 100 shares in Jul '22 at $163.  Unlike the case with DOCU and FVRR, in this instance the stock didn't proceed to endlessly tank.  Instead, I was able to sell 25 shares @ $203, 80 @ $238, and 45 @280.

 

 

I gotta stop chasing "quick wins" and get more committed about holding for the long term ...

 

NVDA is up 25% in after-market trading today, trading in the range of $380-$390, on exploding sales of their A.I. chips.

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  • 2 weeks later...
2 hours ago, hegemony said:

AXP

 

Can't go wrong with blue chips??  Why AXP and why now??

 

My gut is taking me in the opposite direction.  Picked up another 500 shares of FVRR yesterday $26 (boosting my hold by 50% ... I'm gonna "dollar average" this thing to the ground!).  I had sold 200 shares in Feb @ $43, and had expected to sell more through the year.

 

FVRR and DOCU are my two cess pits that I can't seem to get enough of.  (Probably why I should stick to mutual fund investments!)

 

Still, there are no real detractors from either of these companies (well, DOCU is suffering from introduction of competition, and some think that DOCU saw it's heyday during Covid).  FVRR has been showing respectable top and bottom line growth.  Investors apparently fear that should we ultimately see a hard recession, it'll be one of the first to fall.

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On 4/28/2023 at 11:15 PM, hdporter said:

 

I'll feel better when NFLX breaks $400 ... gonna happen any day!!

 

Sold my last 60 shares (of 200 share original purchase a year ago) @ $424 at market open today.

This brings total proceeds on the 200 shares to $70k against a $40k purchase.  Yes, even a blind pig finds a truffle ....

 

(Wish I had acquired more up front, of course ... but I was holding out for a decent retreat.  Instead the chart path this last year as been one of strictly "up, up and away".)

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