QUOTE (Help-Down-n-out @ Dec 14 2008, 03:01 PM)

JW1980
I was not in the subprime mess my circumstances had to do with health issues, just want to get that out of the way.
You worked in the subprime hey day. And say half the people put in subprime loans had no business buying a home. Why did they get the loan to start with, what happen to the banks saying this was not a good candidate? Could it be Greed? What about all the people who had arm’s pushed on them for no good reason other than they were a cash cow for the broker and lender with promises to do a refi and make even more money off the borrower. How many people were told do this ARM and you can buy that big house with this loan you too can afford your dream house. How many people got told on these great ARM programs yes you can afford to own it is cheaper than rent. How many people got told it is cheaper to use the ARM instead of FHA? How many brokers and bank employees have come forward and said hey we were forced by management to push these loans.
The mods the banks are doing for people are useless and they are only doing them to say we are helping it’s not our fault people are still not paying. OMG I read and hear people getting mods for a low rate for two years and a jumbo payment after 24 months, what is that? Than some banks want thousands of dollars up front, as if people had that. Some want to make it 40 year loans and start the clock on the loan again. Hey so they don’t lose a dime because they add another 10 years of fees, GO Banks keep helping to make people homeless. I could go on but this is sad. At this point it is no longer the arm’s Subprime loans that are in trouble it is so many people. So many people in the next 2 years are going to have black marks on the credit reports from this mess.
Pointing fingers is not going to help and if you must point what about pointing at the banks and brokers they are also a part of this mess not just borrower.
This is why those programs were originally created, to make credit available to good people who were the subjects of bad circumstances.
The subprime formulas worked on paper, but they did not account for the people who were irresponsible and already stretched thin, and were borrowing more than they could handle. The formulas did not account for what might happen when unexpected events impact the financial stability of an already strained borrower.
Despite all of the foreclosures, there are many stable homeowners who bought through subprime loans. Some are paying on those loans, others have straightened out their credit challenges and have since refinanced to prime loans.
Those were the people who subprime lending was created to help.
The anti-bank crowd likes to assert that banks somehow wanted to put people into products they couldn't afford, just so they could lose hundreds of billions in the process. That simply isn't true. I can't count the number of people who needed subprime programs due to credit challenges caused by unexpected medical bills, divorce, death in the family, sudden employer bankruptcy, etc. Without the programs, these people would have had to wait many years to achieve homeownership.
The subprime programs initially started soundly, but guidelines loosened as the bubble developed.
In response to your question, the reason these borrowers got loans is because no originator had enough information to point a finger and accuse any specific borrower. An originator might be able to assume that in a group of loans, a few bad ones got through. Although it sounds easy to accuse someone in hindsight of borrowing too much, making that accusation when a borrower who fit the guidelines made an application is impossible, unethical, and borders on illegal.
There were some operations that were blatantly lending in predatory ways, but that is a slim minority, and is not representative of how the industry worked. Prior to subprime, those operations were committing fraud to get subprime borrowers in prime loans. Subprime programs did not create those crooks.
The subprime programs accepted many borrowers that FHA did not. FHA still does not accept many of these borrowers, and was much more strict before some regulations and automated scorecards were loosened to help purge the toxic ARMs from the system through FHA refinances.
The mods are not useless. For whatever reason, some people cannot refinance at all. This generally stems from negative equity.
A mod is a useful tool in which the mortgage itself is the cause of default. A mod is the appropriate solution to a situation in which a borrower would be stable at 6.5% fixed, and was fine at 6.5%, but began to drown when the ARM went to 8.5%, 10.5%, 12.5%, etc.
Banks do not want to see people out on the streets. They are willing to lower rates to below market rates, because a loan in repayment is more valuable than a loan in foreclosure. The point of the mods is to reduce loss - taking payments at 6.5% from someone unqualified for that rate is better than putting them into foreclosure, once the loan has already been made. That doesn't mean the loan should have been made to begin with, though.
The only people who want to see foreclosures are foreclosure speculators. Neither banks nor borrowers win when an agreement for rehabilitating the loan cannot be reached.
I don't know where you are getting the idea that huge upfront payments are required, because that is not usual practice. The FDIC has been pressuring the few remaining banks holding paper that must be modified according to that rule.
Requiring huge upfront payments from people who can't make the regular payments is counterproductive.
QUOTE (hurricanesfans27 @ Dec 14 2008, 03:07 PM)

guess you didnt have a problem with subprime loans as long as you were making money off them did you.
Why don't you reread my comment, and stop reading things into it that aren't there.
My analysis of the subprime market was limited to an aggregate basis.
Out of ten subprime purchases, five might have involved loans to people who had no business owning a home.
That has no bearing in any way on the wisdom of making any individual loan. The difference between two borrowers with blemished history and non-prime criteria can be razor thin. The person originating the loan has no rational basis to accuse some borrowers of bad behavior, while at the same time allowing others the opportunity to own a home despite credit challenges.
The originator has no way of knowing which specific borrowers are the ones who are habitually irresponsible, and which specific borrowers have had credit challenges but are working hard to achieve their dreams. The only way to keep the irresponsible from reaching the closing table would be deny credit to everyone who didn't meet prime criteria.
The originator is hired by the client to do the loan, not to judge them. As a financial professional, the originator has a legal responsibility to respect the wishes of his client, just as an attorney has the legal responsibility to follow the wishes of his client, even if those wishes may not represent the best legal strategy. An attorney cannot plead his client as not guilty, even if he thinks he can win at trial, if the client wishes to take a plea bargain and get it over with.
One might liken it to a high crime housing project - some units house good, hardworking people, while others house drug dens. Government officials do not have the right to deny housing to someone on a hunch. The police do not have the authority to go from unit to unit, conducting warrantless searches, to separate between the two.
Even if an originator could know who is and isn't responsible and committed, they have no influence on the irresponsible.
Irresponsible people do stupid things as far as home ownership is concerned. If an originator could identify one of the irresponsible people, and deny a loan to him, that person is going to go get it somewhere else.
The entire point of my post was to illustrate that, on an aggregate basis, there are substantial numbers of subprime mortgagors that borrowed trouble, and that loan modifications cannot be expected to have majority success rates, as a substantial number of borrowers are too far in trouble for their mortgages to be redeemed.