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Even a minor setback can hurt your credit enough that you won't be eligible to finance something else when your lease is over, leaving you with no way to replace the lease car you're turning in.
Judging by how things went for a friend of mine, the lease-ending customer with crappy credit is a dream customer for a dealership.
Nissan had no problem whatsoever offering him a new lease because he'd always been current with them, even though his credit was a cratered battlefield. Of course, Nissan was the only option for him, and he basically had to lease another car from them at the end of his lease car's term or forego leasing or buying (except from a nasty buy-here-pay-here note lot) for a long, long time.
So I figure they had him right where they wanted him. And it took 6 hours at the dealership on a Saturday to get anything approaching a decent deal from them. They kept us waiting around, hoping he would crack and agree to something crappy--my wife wasn't too happy that I was babysitting him all afternoon.